Synthos Research · Macro & the big picture · all questions · the Conviction Board
Will bond yields come down?
The weighted expert view leans no — not durably, while inflation floors near 3% and coupon issuance keeps growing. Duration bulls are only 28% of conviction-weighted opinion; the rest see the long end structurally repriced.
Synthos Research · synthosresearch.com · as of July 6, 2026 · distilled from 53,000+ dated, attributed expert claims, weighted by verified track record · updated weeklyWant the full picture? The complete call — the dialectic, what would change our mind, and the live change-log — is on the prediction page. Track it and we'll email you the moment it moves.