The Forecaster Scorecard · preview edition

Verified Voices

Whose calls actually held up? We graded 2,183 matured, dated predictions from the voices in our knowledge base against what markets then did — with partial credit for being close, adjusted for each field's own volatility and base rate, so a bold right call in a quiet field outranks an easy one in a hot field. These voices came out ahead.

Synthos Research · as of 2026-07-06 · first full edition: February 2027

Top of the graded pool · voice

Jensen Huang

387 graded predictions · strongest fields: AI, Equities · directionally ahead of the field baseline across matured predictions.

An operator speaking from inside the buildout — graded by the same rules as everyone.

Upper tier of the graded pool · voice

Raoul Pal

142 graded predictions · strongest fields: AI, Crypto, Equities · directionally ahead of the field baseline across matured predictions.

Upper tier of the graded pool · curator feed

Business Breakdowns

97 graded predictions · strongest fields: AI, Equities, Macro · directionally ahead of the field baseline across matured predictions.

Upper tier of the graded pool · curator feed

Real Vision

44 graded predictions · strongest fields: Crypto · directionally ahead of the field baseline across matured predictions.

How to read this — and who is NOT here

This is an honor roll, not a ranking of everyone. We grade claims, never persons — and we only publish the voices who cleared the bar (30+ matured, graded predictions and results ahead of their field's baseline). Everyone else is simply unlisted. Every voice we track, listed here or not, contributes to our internal weighting with the same mathematics.

Grading is mechanical against market outcomes with a grace window — markets are chaotic, and "close and early" is worth more than a coin flip. Being bullish in a field that only goes up earns no extra credit: scores are measured against what a perpetual optimist would have scored in the same field, same period. Our own predictions are graded by the same rules — see the Conviction Board.